After slaying the October beast that had haunted him for so many years, Kershaw pitched reasonably well through the first three months of the season, posting a 3.39 ERA and 2.98 FIP the latter his lowest mark since 2016 in 106.1 innings. 9 mo. As for R-JAWS, hes entered the top 20, but as he approaches both his 34th birthday and free agency, the question of how many more years hell be trusted to handle the ninth inning looms. Hes actually been tougher to hit than in any season since 2016, but his 14% walk rate has created more traffic than ever, and hes blown five of 35 save chances, though three of those were in consecutive outings in mid-July, accounting for seven of the 16 earned runs hes allowed. Wainwright went 41-28 with a 4.58 ERA (an ERA+ of 90, or 10 percent below league average) from 2016 through 2019. Twenty-eight are enshrined in Cooperstown everyone except Wainwright and his fellow active hurlers Scherzer, Justin Verlander and Clayton Kershaw, the latter trio of whom are expected to glide in Cooperstown, as well as Roger Clemens, Tommy John, Luis Tiant, Jerry Koosman, Rick Reuschel, Kevin Brown and Vida Blue. Justin Verlander has pulled off one of the rare accomplishments for a pitcher winning a league MVP award. What a different story we could be telling about 'Waino' had he stayed in Atlanta. Will this happen? However, the future Cardinals Hall of Famer is coming off a 2022 season in which he lost velocity, suffered a decline in swing-and-miss stuff and faded to a 17.8 percent strikeout rate. The minute Adam Wainwright is eligible, he will easily cruise into the St. Louis Cardinals Hall of Fame, with the only possible road block being if he gets caught in the midst of a logjam with Albert Pujols and Yadier Molina (though if the Cardinals were ever going to make an exception and admit three people in one year, this would seemingly be the case). 122-66, 3.24 ERA, 1,621 strikeouts, 123 adjusted ERA. For starters, no pitcher can stay that good for that long. That may be what landed him on the disabled list with shoulder inflammation this year. But theres no alarm. Annual promotional dates for the Purina Pooches in the Ballpark game and Edward Jones Cardinals Hall of Fame Weekend are scheduled for April 30 and August 26-28, respectively. Seconds later, told his numbers stack up well to wild card-era pitchers who are either already enshrined or have solid Hall of Fame cases, the famously good-natured Wainwright a night removed from saying he struck out Jeff McNeil looking to leave the bases loaded because I like nostalgia and he wanted to give Mets fans what they want grinned again. He produced the worst set of metrics in a full season in his career. He had one brother, Trey, who was seven years his senior. On Saturday, June 11, 25,000 fans, ages 16 and older, will take home one of their replica . Just want to take care of some minor inflammation after he ramped up his throwing and pitch counts. NeverSober1900. The baseball player is married to Jenny Curry, his starsign is Virgo and he is now 41 years of age. But Adam Wainwright's story also isn't complete. . That being said, the question I had is what a retirement for Adam Wainwright . Sometimes a little spring-training soreness is nothing more than a little spring-training soreness. After posting a 3.84 expected ERA in 2022, that metric jumped to 4.53 last season. However, per his stats, it would not be surprising if he is inducted in his first year of eligibility. Gerrit Cole (117 wins at age 31) and Chris Sale (114 wins at age 32) are the likeliest active pitchers to approach Wainwrights total. The veteran right-hander is the last remaining . Poll : Should Adam Wainwright be in the Hall of Fame? Injuries have me dubious that Chris Sale will ever accumulate the WAR necessary to reach the Cooperstown threshold, but hes only barely going to be 33 come Opening Day, so Im not closing the book just yet. On Wednesday, I took a swing at a question often asked of me: Which players have helped their Hall of Fame cases the most this year? Leg and glute stiffness that limited his leg drive, the aftereffect of recent back spasms, and a torn finger blister. But over the last three seasons, Jack has pitched only 154 innings. That includes 2020, a season shortened by the pandemic. While these numbers are impressive, they may not be enough to convince voters that Adam Wainwright is a Hall of Famer. Actually, it's two starting pitchers: Jack Flaherty and Adam Wainwright. I found This is a question that has been frequently raised throughout the season as the Cardinals' 'Big Three' (Pujols, Wainwright, Molina) were constantly praised by St. Louis fans. Still, just one top-10 Cy Young award finish wont get him in the Hall of Fame. Adam Wainwright will return for his 19th season with the. Decade-plus Eagles writer. . MILWAUKEE -- Adam Wainwright joined Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukee's Luis Uras in the fourth inning Thursday. . That's an average of 174 innings per year. Bernie invites you to listen to his opinionated and analytical sports-talk show on 590 The Fan, KFNS-AM. His draft stock suggests he has the ability to be a top-tier pitcher, but as of now, hes not on a Cooperstown track. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright's Hall of Fame chances could be dampened by circumstances out of his control. Moving to Adam Wainwright, the 40-year-old moved into second in pitching WAR (again, as calculated by Baseball Reference) last season, and that is where he will stay. Adam Wainwright is going to have such an interesting Hall of Fame case once he retires. He struck out 14 in his MLB debut and it seemed evident that he and Bryce Harper were going to lead the team to not only a World Series championship, but multiple titles. I suppose well get an update after Wainwright returns to camp after competing for Team USA in the World Baseball Classic. While Drew was a fine player throughout his career, he would only spend the 2004 season with the Braves. FASTBALLS JET ACROSS the baseball atmosphere in this era, booming into catchers' mitts at 100 mph or faster, and amid that sound of speed, there is Adam Wainwright's curveball. Adam Wainwright on Baseball Reference.. While best known for his voice as the lead sports columnist at the Post-Dispatch for 26 years, Bernie has also written for The Athletic, Dallas Morning News and Baltimore News American. Follow him on Twitter @jay_jaffe and Mastodon @jay_jaffe. In the five innings Wainwright yielded eight hits and four earned runs for a 7.20 ERA. This adds up to a solid career, and one that would be worthy of the Hall of Very Good, but not the Hall of Fame. Hes also climbed from 12th to ninth in saves (372) and should easily move past Joe Nathan (377) and Dennis Eckersley (390) within the next year. Wainwright is a Hall of Fame person, and a very good pitcher. Perhaps (I would argue this is more likely) a new narrative arc would emergeWainwright, say, grits through physical pain to guide the Cardinals to the 2022 World Series and enters a level of folklore which allows voters to look optimistically upon his borderline statistical case (see: Ortiz, David). 132-72, 3.34 ERA, 2,005 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA. Im skeptical only because of the history of how the Cardinals do this when a pitcher doesnt pitch, or takes a delay before his next assignment. Terms of Service. Im not sure its a good idea for Wainwright to proceed with his WBC plans, but the Cardinals wont stop him from going. Hes undergone Tommy John surgery, and his career total of 76 wins is underwhelming. For the last 35 years Bernie Miklasz has entertained, enlightened, and connected with generations of St. Louis sports fans. Clayton Kershaw is this generations Sandy Koufax; he could retire right now and hed make the Hall of Fame on the first ballot. After nearly two seasons in the wilderness, he regained his dominant form with the Cubs, and while hes scuffled since being traded to the White Sox while pitching in a setup role in front of Liam Hendriks, his 2.02 ERA, 2.24 FIP, and 43.2% strikeout rate make this his best season since 2017 and put him in line for another substantial free-agent payday if the White Sox decline his $16 million club option. Queried about his Cooperstown credentials during the Cardinals' visit to Citi Field last month, Wainwright grinned while seemingly acknowledging his counting numbers he has 184 wins and 2,004. Focusing on what hes better at: Scherzer is just 19 strikeouts away from 3,000 and should reach the milestone this month, surpassing the likes of Juan Marichal, Roy Halladay, and Bob Feller on the JAWS leaderboard. Alas, just before the All-Star break, the 33-year-old southpaw landed on the injured list due to inflammation in his left forearm and hasnt even gotten to the point of a rehab stint yet after suffering a setback in late July. The best-of-three series would not go in the Cardinals' favor, falling 2-0 to the eventual World Series participant. And if the Sox do pick up his option, he is by no means a lock to pass Eckersley in saves next year if Hendriks gets most of the chances. What's the Dodgers' plan at shortstop? I think Hall of Fame credentials might change a bit, Wainwright said. Jim Bowden (The Athletic) was at Cardinal camp earlier this week and asked president of baseball operations John Mozeliak about Flahertys status. It airs Monday through Thursday from 3-6 p.m. and Friday from 4-6 p.m. You can listen by streaming online or by downloading the show podcast at or the 590 app. Next, select your favourite teams and leagues and well show you their latest news and scores in the My Favourites section of the home page. While I dont think the statistical mistake that was inducting Rick Ferrell means that we should induct Mickey Tettleton, in my perfect world we would have sixteen Hall of Famers at the catcher position, though the ones who are in would be different (for instance, among the currently eligible, Gene Tenace would be there), and we would go from there. But theres a rhythm to the ritual. Or follow @seeingredpod on Twitter for a direct link. Wainwrights candidacy as an elite pitcher of his time should strengthen during the five years between his retirement and his first appearance on a Hall of Fame ballot. All picks and predictions are suggestions only. This is a veteran, and he knows what he needs to do. Wainwright attributed the late 2022 freefall to a hitch in his delivery after hed been struck on the knee by a batted ball. Information from The Associated Press was used in this report. Thats an average of 174 innings per year. He has a $217 million contract with the Boston Red Sox, and to make the Hall of Fame, he may need another Cy Young award and a dominant performance in a World Series championship. Adam Wainwright is one of the more curious pitchers in baseball, and a recent thread raised a couple questions to me. The bad news is that hell finish his age-35 season still short of 1,200 hits (hes at 1,156), meaning that hed have to average at least 160 a total he hasnt reached since 2016 through his age-40 season just to reach the all-important 2,000. Your email address will not be published. A similarly impressive 2022 and perhaps 2023, though upon signing a one-year extension with the Cardinals last week, Wainwright strongly hinted he would retire alongside longtime batterymate Yadier Molina following next season added to his 2017-14 peak would nudge him ever closer to a Cooperstown-worthy body of work and at the least underline the kind of company hes already keeping. ago. Your existing password has not been changed. Keep your fingers crossed, St. Louis fans.. Interestingly enough, he missed the entire 2011 season for the world champion St. Louis Cardinals, but he did play an integral role as a closer in the 2006 playoffs, throwing 9.2 scoreless innings in the playoffs. While a Cy Young Award does not guarantee entry, it certainly helps. On 30-8-1981 Adam Wainwright (nickname: Adam) was born in Brunswick, Georgia, United States. Please logout and login again. Laurie Skrivan, St, Louis Post-Dispatch Here's a look at some other top Cardinals not in the Hall of Fame. This isnt your fathers Hall of Fame. Flaherty is calm. (And hes been getting his work in, at least for the most part.) But its just not going to happen anymore the way pitchers are used now and the way free agency is and (how) careers go. Adam Wainwright Position: Pitcher Bats: Right Throws: Right 6-7 , 230lb (201cm, 104kg) Team: St. Louis Cardinals (majors) More bio, uniform, draft, salary info 3x All-Star 2006 World Series 2x Gold Glove Silver Slugger 60 50 Become a Stathead & surf this site ad-free. The Cardinals are calm. Wainwright, 40, who has played for the Cardinals since reaching the majors in 2005, is a three-time All-Star and twice led the National League in wins (2009 and 2013). Prices highlights include a 2012 Cy Young award, two ERA titles, and five 200-strikeout seasons. He answers the tough question on if his legacy is enough to get him into the MLB Hall of Fame alongside the all-time greats.Follow all our social media channels for more content! Five years ago, Max Scherzer had no Hall of Fame case. It's not the be-all end-all but his baseball reference kind of shows that he really shouldn't make it. Those skills may eventually result in a spot in the Hall of Fame. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright joins Scott Braun, Erik Kratz, Todd Frazier, and AJ Pierzynski to talk about his final season and the legacy he's. Well have to wait and see. Are there baseball seasons good enough to get Adam Wainwright past Dwight Gooden? I wouldnt expect Wainwright to be at his best at this stage. Of course, theres no prorating stats when it comes to evaluating Hall of Fame candidates, and so Wainwright appeared to be in the company of the likes of Roy Oswalt Wainwrights most similar pitcher per Cliff Lee and former teammate Chris Carpenter as pitchers who had terrific peaks but lacked the length for serious Cooperstown consideration. We always prefer to go the surgery route as the last possible resort. Carlos Correa, Shortstop(32.7 Career WAR | 32.7 7-Year Peak WAR | 32.7 JAWS, +6.7 JAWS) Between some favorable changes to his DRS totals and an AL-leading 5.9 WAR (surpassed by Ohtani's two-way total of 7.7), the 26-year-old Correa has boosted his JAWS more than any position player. {* backButton *} . If he can maintain this kind of dominance for a few more years, hell get to Cooperstown. Flahertys exhibition-season debut was supposed to happen Saturday, but now the assignment has been switched to Sunday. Madison Bumgarner is still just 27 years old, but hes already etched his name into baseball lore as one of the greatest big-game pitchers of all-time. Here's how WBC offenses stack up with MLB's best, Scherzer tries to test pitch clock limits, gets balk, Jays 'playing it safe' after Guerrero tweaks knee, PitchCom-tipping: Loud device leaks Twins calls, Eflin's first start after $40M deal impresses Rays, Rangers' Leclerc to miss WBC with neck injury, Rockies' Rodgers may need surgery, '23 at risk, Rojas to withdraw from WBC, stay with Dodgers. The two-time NL Cy Young winner began his season by reeling off one of the most amazing runs of any pitcher in recent memory, posting an 0.50 ERA and 0.87 FIP through his first 12 starts. For this exercise, Im focused mainly on mid- or late-career players rather than early-career ones. Flaherty pitched 348 innings over the 2018 and 2019 seasons. 2020 has given us many. His contract (seven years, $175 million) ensures he will pitch in Seattle at least through 2019, but his velocity numbers and declining ERA suggest his career may be on the downside. But compared to Molina or especially Pujols, Adam Wainwright is an underdog. Be the first one to comment on this story. Guerrero had an RBI single during the first inning in his lone at-bat. MILWAUKEE Adam Wainwright joins Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals' pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukee's Luis Urias in the fourth inning. Adam Wainwright 141-80, 3.23 ERA, 1,547 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA 3x All-Star, 2 Gold Gloves, 2 rings Injuries have plagued Adam Wainwright more than the other pitchers on this list; he's going to be 36 in a few months and he's logged just 1,800 innings due to Tommy John surgery (2011) and an Achilles tendon rupture (2015). The 40-year-old right-hander became the ninth active pitcher with 2,000. Yadier Molina, though certainly less overwhelming of a candidate than Pujols, is probably going to make it inparticularly with the modern embrace of pitch framing, Molinas defensive reputation has only improved, and his high longevity and peak scores by FanGraphs Wins Above Replacement (which, unlike Baseball Reference, incorporates framing), are well within the normal catcher standards for Cooperstown, even if the rank-and-file voter bestows his candidacy with fewer goat emojis and general fawning than St. Louis does. Were not sure if hell be ready by Opening Day, but at this point our priority is to take care of this now so we can have him available for virtually the entire season. Your email address will not be published. Gibson got his 2,000th strikeout when Pittsburgh's Roberto Clemente was called out on July 13, 1969. He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend. How much more does Wainwright need to do to make the Hall of Fame in your eyes? None. That seems to be a pretty good baseline.. The three Cy Young Awards should be enough to get him into the Hall of Fame. The key number regarding Gooden is 48.0, which is the average of his career bWAR, his bWAR7, his career fWAR, and his fWAR7. If hes still got the stuff and durability to get to 3,000, the rest of the numbers might fall into place. March 2, 2023 | 00:00:10. Yadier Molina is arguably one of the best defensive catchers in the history of baseball. It hasnt moved him very far in the JAWS rankings, but hes nonetheless seventh among active pitchers behind Greinke, the injured Justin Verlander (60.8), Kershaw, Scherzer, and two other pitchers whove effectively taken zeroes in 2020 and 21, Cole Hamels (48.4) and Flix Hernndez (44.3). SUMMARY 2022 Career WAR 1.8 46.7 W 11 195 L 12 117 ERA 3.71 3.38 G 32 457 GS But is it a Hall of Fame caliber career? Before going down, he made solid progress towards the 200-win and 3,000 strikeout milestones; hes at 184 and 2,653, respectively, the latter thanks to a 30.1% strikeout rate, his best since 2016. "Adam Wainwright is going to have such an interesting Hall of Fame case once he retires." - Connor Looker Throughout his career, Wainwright has won a World Series and has been selected to. Adam Wainwright strikes out Chas McCormick swinging in the top of the 1st inning, one of his two strikeouts over three innings of work. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, Still, his 2.60 ERA is his lowest since 2017, and his strikeout rate is a solid 29.8%. While he has never won a Cy Young Award, he was in the top 3 on four occasions. The good news is that even with a modest 2.6 WAR this year, hes in his seventh-best season and can make tracks towards the third base peak standard (43.1 WAR). Although Gooden was one-and-done when he reached the ballot in 2006, his extraordinary peak meant he probably deserved more of a look. Halladay and Martinez combined to win five Cy Youngs had more dominant peaks than Wainwright, but their status as first-ballot Hall of Famers serve as evidence the electorate is already modifying its standards for Hall-worthy starting pitchers. Jansens 30 saves have pushed him to 14th on the all-time list, five away from the next rung and 26 away from cracking the top 10. Albert Pujols and Yadier Molina played their final game in the majors, a disappointing 2-0 loss to eliminate them from the Wild Card round. He trailed 5-0 on a pair of home runs by Tyrone Taylor, a grand slam in the first inning and a solo shot in the fourth. Heres a report on Wainwrights Thursday start against the Astros from The Athletics Katie Woo: The velocity on all five of the pitches in his mix averaged between 3-4 mph slower than their average readings in 2022. No Gavin Lux -- big problem. Pitching to a 3.66 ERA and 4.45 FIP, hes produced a respectable 2.2 WAR, though hes still 0.6 points below the JAWS standard.
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